IMF
on CAR Cites Volatile Security
As Inner City Press Asks of
Corruption
By Matthew
Russell Lee, CJR PFT NY
Post
NEW YORK CITY,
Nov 7 – When
the
International
Monetary Fund
held its
biweekly
embargoed
media briefing
on November
7,
Inner City
Press
submitted
questions including
on Sudan
and on Equatorial
Guinea, see
below.
Now on
November 8
the IMF on CAR
says this: "An
International
Monetary Fund
(IMF) team,
led by Mr.
Édouard
Martin,
visited Bangui
from October
28 through
November 8,
2019 to
discuss the
program of
economic
policies and
reforms that
the government
intends to
implement over
the next three
years, and
which could be
supported by
the IMF
through a new
arrangement
under the
Extended
Credit
Facility (ECF)
. At the
end of the
visit, Mr.
Martin issued
the following
statement:
“The IMF
welcomes the
progress made
in
implementing
the Political
Agreement for
Peace and
Reconciliation
(APPR) signed
on February 6,
which has
contributed to
a steady
reduction in
violence in
the country.
Although this
progress
remains
fragile, it
shows the
potential of
the agreement
in improving
the security
in C.A.R. and
thereby create
the conditions
for sustained
growth and
sustainable
poverty
reduction.
“Recent
economic
developments
have been
generally
favorable.
Economic
growth, driven
by mining,
forestry, and
construction,
is expected to
reach 4½
percent this
year and 5
percent next
year.
Inflation
remains
contained,
being forecast
at around 3½
percent in
2019 and less
than 3 percent
in 2020. The
current
account
deficit is
expected to
shrink to 5.5%
of GDP in
2019, mainly
due to the
exceptional
level of
budget support
granted by the
economic and
financial
partners. The
banking sector
remains
largely
capitalized
and liquid.
However, tax
revenues were
below
expectations.
This is all
the more
concerning as
revenue
mobilization
is critical to
the sustained
financing of
the country’s
most pressing
spending
needs.
“The favorable
economic
outlook is
subject to
substantial
risks:
downward,
owing to the
volatile
security
situation and
the risks of a
slowdown in
the global
economy; and
upward, in
connection
with the
implementation
of the peace
agreement.
“The mission's
discussions
focused on the
program of
economic
policies and
structural
reforms that
the government
intends to
implement over
the next three
years in the
context of the
Recovery and
Peacebuilding
Plan (RCPCA)
and which
could be
supported by
the IMF
through a new
arrangement
under the
Extended
Credit
Facility....
The IMF team
met with
President
Touadéra,
President of
the National
Assembly
Ngon-Baba,
Prime Minister
Ngrébada,
Minister of
Finance
Dondra,
Minister of
Economy
Moloua,
Minister of
Mines
Mbolifatrane,
Minister of
Water and
Forest Amit,
National
Director of
the BEAC
Chaibou, and
other senior
government
officials and
parliamentarians.
The team also
met with
representatives
of the private
sector, civil
society, and
donor
community. " Note that to
CAR the UN of
Antonio
Guterres sends
"peacekeepers"
from
Mauritania who
have committed
rapes and been
repatriated to
a country that
has no law
against rape.
On
November 7 Inner
City Press
asked: "On
Equatorial
Guinea, what
is the status
(and dollar
volume) of the
IMF's
consideration
of a program,
and the
weighing if at
all on the
length of time
Obiang has
been in power?
"The loan, the
amount of
which has not
been revealed,
is scheduled
to be
considered by
the IMF
executive
board in
December."
From
the IMF's
November 7 transcript,
with video on page:
"There's
another
question from
Matthew, which
I'll take on
Equatorial
Guinea, asking
what's the
status and the
volume of the
IMF's
consideration
of a program
for Equatorial
Guinea and the
weighing, if
at all, length
of time that
President
Obiang has
been in power.
On that, I can
say that just
recently on
October 21st,
the Equatorial
Guinea
authorities
and an IMF
team reached
staff level
agreement on a
three-year
arrangement.
Again, under
the extended
Fund facility,
which is the
more
concessional
arm of the
IMF's lending.
The
authorities
are working on
an agreed set
of measures
that could
allow the new
program to be
considered by
the IMF's
Executive
Board in
December. And
Matthew had
asked about
the volume.
We're looking
at the program
that could be
supported by
approximately
$280 million.
So, that's
four [sic]
Equatorial
Guinea.
And anything
else in the
room?"
On September
26 Spokesperson already
then
Gerry
Rice,
for new
Managing
Director
Kristalina
Georgieva, on
Turkey said "this is also from
Matthew, he has
asked '
On Turkey,
what is the
IMF's response
to ruling AKP
deputy chair
Numan
Kurtulmuş
criticizing a
meeting
between IMF
&
opposition
parties,
saying Turkey
has "closed
the topic with
the IMF."'
Then Rice said
it is normal
to meet with
opposition -
except in
Cameroon,
apparently -
and that there
has been no
indication
from the Turkish
authorities
they are
looking for a
program.
On
September 12 Inner
City Press
asked the IMF:
"On Zimbabwe,
please confirm
or deny IMF's
Patrick Imam
saying that
"it is clear,
compared to
the
projections of
the original
SMP, which did
not foresee
the severity
of the drought
and its
secondary
impact, nor
the
electricity
shock, that
growth is
almost
certainly
going to be
revised
downwards and
inflation
upwards
compared to
the original
SMP
forecasts."
And what is
the IMF's view
of the
(economic)
impact of the
crack down on
protest and
human rights
defenders?"
Spokesperson
Gerry Rice said that
the IMF team
is in Harare,
from September
5 to 17. On
human rights,
he said the
IMF "focuses
on economics"
and that such
questions
should be
directed to...
bilateral
creditor. At
least he
didn't say the
UN, which
doesn't care.
Here are Inner
City Press' other
questions to
the IMF:
On
Somalia,
please provide
a read out or
response to
reports that
Somali
Minister of
Finance
Abdirahman
Duale Beyle
met officials
from the
IMF
Addis Ababa to
discuss the
fourth phase
of the Somali
pardon
program.
On Sri
Lanka, what is
the IMF's
response to
Independent
Expert on
foreign debt
and human
rights, Juan
Pablo
Bohoslavsky,
sayins that in
Sri Lanka,
there are
concerns at
the
significant
rise in the
value added
tax, given
that the brunt
of such taxes
is often borne
by the
poorest?
More
generally,
what is the
IMF's response
to Bohoslavsky
saying as to
the IMF that
"even though
austerity can
be a useful
tool of
administration
against the
squandering of
resources, it
is essential
to keep in
mind that
austerity
impacts the
most
vulnerable and
marginalised"?
On
crypto-currency
what is the
IMF's response
to Marshall
Islands
Minister David
Paul saying
the country is
moving forward
with its
plans.
According to
the post,
Minister Paul
will provide
further
details about
the Marshall
Islands’
crypto, the
Sovereign,
next week at
the Invest:
Asia 2019
conference?
Within months,
the IMF began
putting
pressure on
the Marshall
Islands to not
forego the
U.S. dollar in
favor of its
own digital
currency. The
Fund issued a
58-page report
in September
2018 and
warned against
the "potential
costs arising
from economic,
reputational,
AML/CFT, and
governance
risks"
associated
with the
issuance of
the Sovereign.
On the
DR Congo, what
is the IMF's
knowledge of,
and comment
on, that all
the big-name
advisory banks
are laying
siege to the
presidential
palace in the
hope of
winning the
contract to
advise the DRC
on its
relations with
the IMF?" Inner
City Press also asked,
again, for
"any updates
on Cameroon or
Haiti or
Yemen." Watch
this site.
More
here.
***
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