IMF
Advises Costa Rica on
Incentivizing Dedollarization
Citing FX Lending To Unhedged
Borrowers
By Matthew
Russell Lee, CJR PFT NY
Post
NEW YORK CITY,
February 26 – When
the
International
Monetary Fund
held its
biweekly
embargoed
media briefing
on February
7,
Inner City
Press
submitted five
questions including
two on Zimbabwe
and Barbados which the
IMF answered, see
below.
Now on
February 26
from
the IMF on Costa
Rica: "Costa
Rica: Staff
Concluding
Statement of
the 2019
Article IV
Mission
February 25,
2019 Stress
tests suggest
the banking
system is
sufficiently
well-capitalized
to absorb
sizable
shocks, but it
remains
important to
monitor and
tackle
financial
vulnerabilities
. The latter
are related to
sizable FX
lending to
unhedged
borrowers;
significant
net foreign
liabilities of
banks; sharply
growing
household
borrowing; and
high sovereign
exposure. To
further
incentivize
de-dollarization,
staff
recommend: (i)
reversing all
the June 2018
measures that
relaxed FX
lending
requirements;
(ii)
introducing
different
reserve
requirements
in domestic
and foreign
currency;
(iii) imposing
additional
capital
requirements
contingent on
the expansion
of credit to
unhedged
borrowers; and
(iv) allowing
private banks
more
competitive
access to the
domestic-currency
deposit
market."
From
the IMF on
February 14
about Uganda,
where Sam and
Edith
Kutesa gave
inside
information on
Crane Bank
after taking
$500,000 from
CEFC China
Energy UNSG Antonio
Guterres is
linked to and
covers up for,
this: "An IMF
mission
visited Uganda
January 29 to
February 12,
2019 to hold
discussions
for the 2019
Article IV
consultations.
Economic
growth has
recovered,
while progress
on social
indicators is
mixed and
poverty
reduction has
stalled.
Fiscal and
external
vulnerabilities
have
increased,
reflecting
scaled-up
infrastructure
investment,
but also
weaknesses in
the budget
process. To
achieve more
inclusive
growth, the
trend towards
reduced budget
allocations
for social
sectors should
be reversed.
Monetary
policy has
maintained low
inflation and
can stay the
course.
Banking sector
health has
improved, and
credit to the
private sector
has
increased.
Recent
Economic
Developments
and
Outlook
1. Uganda’s
economy
maintains
momentum. The
economy grew
by 6.1 percent
in FY17/18,
supported by
improvements
in the
services
sector and a
rebound in
agriculture
from the
previous
year’s
drought.
Investor
surveys
indicate that
business
conditions and
sentiment are
strong. Credit
to the private
sector has
improved,
helped by a
supportive
monetary
policy stance.
Growth is
projected at
6.3 percent in
FY18/19, as
manufacturing,
construction,
and services
continue to
expand.
2. Social
indicators
show mixed
progress.
Literacy and
numeracy
improved until
2010 but have
stagnated
since...
In this
regard,
cabinet’s
recent
decision to
start the
accession
process to
become a
member of the
Extractive
Industries
Transparency
Initiative is
a welcome
step. Uganda
has achieved
important
progress in
addressing
technical
compliance
issues with
the Anti-Money
Laundering and
Countering
Financing of
Terrorism
(AML/CFT)
standards and
was removed
from the
Financial
Action Task
Force’s
(FATF’s) grey
list in
FY17/18. The
authorities
are encouraged
to continue
their work to
align their
AML/CFT regime
with
strengthened
international
standards to
ensure that
Uganda’s
regime is
fully
compliant with
FATF
requirements.
Uganda’s
application to
the Egmont
Group is one
step in this
direction.
The mission
met with
Minister Matia
Kasaija,
Governor
Emmanuel
Tumusiime-Mutebile,
Permanent
Secretary/Secretary
to the
Treasury Keith
Muhakanizi,
Deputy
Governor Louis
Kasekende,
Commissioner
General Doris
Akol, Acting
Director
Uganda Bureau
of Statistics
Imelda Atai
Musana, senior
government
officials,
civil society,
unions, and
the private
sector. The
IMF team
welcomes the
open and
constructive
discussions
with the
authorities
and expresses
its gratitude
for their
hospitality
and excellent
cooperation."
On
February 12
from IMF
spokesperson
Gerry Rice on
Ecuador,
this: "Gerry
Rice, the
International
Monetary
Fund’s chief
spokesperson,
made the
following
statement on
Ecuador
today:
“The IMF
together with
other partner
multilateral
financial
institutions
have been
engaged in a
close dialogue
with the
Ecuadorian
authorities
over policies
to strengthen
Ecuador’s
economy for
the benefit of
all
Ecuadorians.
“As part of
this
partnership,
the Ecuadorian
authorities
and the IMF
have agreed to
deepen this
dialogue with
the goal of
working toward
a possible
IMF-supported
financial
arrangement.
This potential
IMF supported
arrangement
would aim to
protect the
poor and most
vulnerable,
boost
competitiveness
and job
creation,
improve
transparency
and strengthen
the fight
against
corruption as
well as
fortify the
institutional
foundations
for
dollarization.
“In this
context, an
IMF team is
currently in
Quito to
continue this
dialogue and
identify how
the IMF can
best support
the
government’s
home-grown
policy plan." This is
the same
Ecuador whose
foreign
minister Maria
Fernanda Espinosa
Garcés is claiming
openness at
the UN while
inviting
bribees and
banning the
Press...
On
February 7
Inner City
Press asked, "On
Zimbabwe, what
is the IMF's
comment on
reports that "
Zimbabwe has
cleared its
arrears with
the IMF, but
the country
still owes
$687 million
to the AfDB,
$1.4 billion
to the World
Bank and $322
million to the
European
Investment
Bank" and on
recent
developments
including
crackdowns in
the country?"
Spokesperson
Gerry Rice
said that the
IMF's rules mean it
would not lend
while arrears
exist to other
multilateral
organizations;
on the
crackdown he
emphasized
that all
stakeholders
should proceed
"peacefully."
Inner
City Press also asked,
"On Barbados,
former
co-chair of
Jamaica’s EPOC
Richard Byles
has said the
circumstances
which forced
Jamaica to
turn to the
IMF were very
similar to
those
currently
faced by
Barbados with
very high debt
to GDP ratios
and low
foreign
reserves. Any
IMF comment?
Has Barbados
reached out to
the IMF?" Rice
responded
about the EFF
program
initiated last
October - here's
from the transcript:
"There is one
other -- a
couple of
other
questions on
line I'll
take. One is
on Barbados
where, again,
Matthew Lee is
asking the
former
co-chair of
Jamaica's
EPOC, Richard
Byles, has
said the
circumstances
which forced
Jamaica to
turn to the
IMF were very
similar to
those
currently
faced by
Barbados, very
high debt
levels, low
foreign
reserve. Any
IMF comment,
has Barbados
reached out to
the IMF, the
answer is
clearly yes
because last
October our
Board approved
a program, a
financial
program for
Barbados under
our extended
fund facility,
one of those
instruments
that we can
use when
countries are
in difficulty.
So just
confirming
that." And on
Zimbabwe: "Then
let me take a
few calls from
this -- there
is one on
Zimbabwe
asking about
-- what is our
comment on
reports that
Zimbabwe has
cleared its
arrears with
the IMF but
the country
still owes, he
says 687
million to the
African
Development
Bank, 1.4
billion to the
World Bank,
322 million to
the European
investment
bank and on
recent
developments
including the
crackdowns in
the
country.
We have talked
quite a bit
about Zimbabwe
here in the
past but just
to answer the
question, it’s
-- I can
confirm that
-- and I’ve
said it before
here, that
Zimbabwe has
cleared,
indeed, its
arrears to the
IMF but
arrears remain
outstanding to
other
multilateral
creditors,
including the
World Bank and
that severely
limits
Zimbabwe’s
access to
international
financial
support --
Zimbabwe has
no arrears to
the IMF. Our
rules preclude
lending given
the arrears to
other
financial
institutions.
And on the
crackdown he
asks about, I
don't have too
much to add
beyond what I
said here
before, which
is that we
encourage all
stakeholders
to collaborate
peacefully --
and I think
that's the
word I would
want to
stress, is the
"peacefully"
-- and, you
know, try to
develop
policies that
will stabilize
the economy
and promote
sustainable
and inclusive
growth. It's
clearly a very
difficult
situation
there in
Zimbabwe and
we recognize
that."
Inner City
Press also
asked, "On
Nigeria,
Minister of
Budget and
National
Planning,
Senator Udo
Udoma, has
said the
nation’s
economy will
grow by 3.01
per cent this
year, compared
to a forecast
of two per
cent by the
International
Monetary Fund.
What is the
IMF's
response?
What is
the IMF's
comment on the
making public
of US “Field
Manual (FM)
3-05.130, Army
Special
Operations
Forces
Unconventional
Warfare” and
its mentions
of the IMF? On
Cameroon, now
the US is
cutting
military aid
due to human
rights
violations
(and a
Cameroon
minister
threatening
opponents with
a Holocaust).
Do these
issues, and
the continued
crackdown in
the Southwest
and Northwest
of the
country, have
no impact the
IMF's
continued
programs with
the Biya
government?"
Somehow these
Cameroon
questions
don't get
answered.
We'll have
more on this.
On
Venezuela Rice
made it clear
that IMF has
not spoken
with Guaido,
saying the IMF
will take its
guidance from
the
international
community and
stating of the
IMF,
"we don't do
politics, we
do economics."
We'll have
more on
this. Back
from the IMF's
January 17
transcript
answering
Inner City Press'
Zimbabwe
question at
the time.
RICE: "I'll
take one more
online and
that's about
Zimbabwe and
asking for the
status of
where we are
with the
countries debt
and relation
with the IMF
and did we
have any
comment on the
unrest and the
government
crackdown
there is the
question.
So in answer
to that, I
would say that
of course
Zimbabwe is
facing major
challenges and
just in terms
of the unrest,
we encourage
all
stakeholders
to collaborate
peacefully in
developing and
implementing
policies that
will stabilize
the economy
and promote
sustainable
and inclusive
growth.
On the overall
economic
situation,
debt and the
IMF, there has
been no real
change in what
I have said
here recently
which is
Zimbabwe
continues to
be in a
difficult
situation
regarding debt
with
protracted
arrears to
official
creditors
including
multilateral
creditors such
as the World
Bank which
severely
limits
Zimbabwe's
access to
international
financial
support.
In terms of
the IMF,
Zimbabwe has
in fact
cleared its
arrears to us,
to the Fund,
but our rules
preclude
lending to a
country that
is still in or
under arrears
to other
international
financial
situations. So
until that
particular
situation is
resolved, we
would not be
moving forward
with a
financial
support for
Zimbabwe.
I said here
the last time
that the
authority's
economic
policies we
felt were
headed in the
right
direction
broadly in
terms of
addressing the
fiscal deficit
and monetary
policy and so
on. I won't
repeat what I
said the last
time but
that’s where
we are on
Zimbabwe."
More
here.
***
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