On
Guatemala IMF Cites Giammattei
and SDGs After Inner City Press
Asks of Corruption
By Matthew
Russell Lee, CJR PFT NY
Post
NEW YORK CITY,
Oct 8 – When
the
International
Monetary Fund
held its
biweekly
embargoed
media briefing
on September
26,
Inner City
Press
submitted
questions including
on
Turkey and Sri
Lanka, see
below.
Now
on October 8
on Guatemala
from the IMF,
this: "An
International
Monetary Fund
(IMF) mission,
led by Esther
Pérez Ruiz,
visited
Guatemala from
October 1 to
8, 2019. The
staff team
reviewed
recent
economic
developments
and discussed
with the
authorities
the
macroeconomic
outlook and
policies, and
reform agenda
priorities.
The staff team
had fruitful
discussions
with the Bank
of Guatemala,
the Ministry
of Finance,
the
Superintendence
of Banks, and
other
representatives
of public and
private
sectors. Amid
the
presidential
transition
period, the
mission also
engaged with
the
President-elect
Alejandro
Giammattei and
members of his
economic
team. At
the end of the
staff visit,
Ms. Pérez Ruiz
issued the
following
statement:
“The
authorities’
efforts to
maintain
macroeconomic
stability and
to facilitate
a smooth
political
handover after
the elections
are welcome.
The immediate
challenge is
for the
incumbent and
the incoming
administrations
to agree on a
set of policy
priorities.
Upon the
inauguration
of Mr.
Alejandro
Giammattei in
January 2020,
the new
government’s
efforts would
be oriented
towards
gathering
support for
public sector
and business
climate
reforms, and
meaningfully
raise tax
collections,
that would
improve growth
and living
standards. On
the revenue
side,
reversing the
decline in tax
collections is
paramount to
create fiscal
space for
social and
infrastructure
spending,
consistent
with the
Sustainable
Development
Goals agenda...
The adoption
of a
government-sponsored
exports and
investment
promotion
agency, the
swift
alignment of
the national
legislation
with ILO
Convention
169, and the
passage of the
infrastructure,
leasing and
insolvency
laws are
priorities to
this end.
Fiscal reforms
in public
procurement
and civil
service, and
performance-based
budgeting, are
key to more
efficient and
agile use of
public
resources, and
to improve tax
morale.
Further
modernization
of the
financial
system needs
the approval
of the bill on
banks and
financial
groups, the
AML/CFT bill,
the securities
market law,
and the credit
card
law.
“The mission
welcomes the
new
administration’s
commitment to
the
anti-corruption
efforts and
looks forward
to the roll
out of
concrete
policy
initiatives.
In the near
term, the
authorities’
anti-corruption
efforts should
focus on
sustaining
prior legal
and
institutional
progress.” We'll
have more on
this.
On September
26 Spokesperson
Gerry Rice,
now for new
Managing
Director
Kristalina
Georgieva, on
Turkey said "this is also from
Matthew, he has
asked '
On Turkey,
what is the
IMF's response
to ruling AKP
deputy chair
Numan
Kurtulmuş
criticizing a
meeting
between IMF
&
opposition
parties,
saying Turkey
has "closed
the topic with
the IMF."'
Then Rice said
it is normal
to meet with
opposition -
except in
Cameroon,
apparently -
and that there
has been no
indication
from the Turkish
authorities
they are
looking for a
program.
On
September 24
on Sri Lanka the
IMF cited
the Easter terror attacks
but remained
silent
on the
suspected war
criminal
put atop the
country's army, Shavendra
Silva
which Inner City
Press has been
asking the UN
system
about since
February:
"A staff team
from the
International
Monetary Fund
(IMF) led by
Manuela
Goretti
visited
Colombo during
September
10-25, 2019 to
conduct the
sixth review
under Sri
Lanka’s
economic
reform program
supported by a
four-year
Extended Fund
Facility (EFF)
arrangement.
At the end of
the visit, Ms.
Goretti made
the following
statement:
“The team
reached
understandings
at the staff
level with the
Sri Lankan
authorities on
the sixth
review of the
EFF-supported
program. The
authorities
are taking
steps to
complete all
the pending
actions and
structural
benchmarks for
this review
over the next
few weeks.
“The team
welcomed the
authorities’
efforts to
normalize the
security
situation in
the country
after the
tragic
terrorist
attacks in
April and
mitigate the
impact of the
shock on the
economy. Real
GDP growth was
revised to 2.7
percent in
2019 and is
projected to
improve to 3.5
percent in
2020, as
tourist
arrivals and
related
activities
gradually
recover.
Inflation is
expected to
remain stable
at around 4.5
percent during
2019-20.
Despite the
recent fall in
tourist
arrivals and
remittances,
the current
account
balance is
projected to
improve to 2.6
percent of GDP
in 2019 on the
back of lower
imports and
stronger
exports
supported by
the exchange
rate
correction in
late
2018.
“Sustaining
prudent
policies and
implementing
institutional
reforms remain
critical to
preserve
macroeconomic
stability,
given the weak
global outlook
and Sri
Lanka’s
sizable public
debt. “The
protracted
impact of the
2018 political
crisis and the
Easter attacks
are
significantly
impacting
fiscal
performance.
The end-June
fiscal target
was missed by
a large
margin, due to
frontloading
of spending
from the
clearing of
arrears and
externally-financed
capital
projects
carried over
from 2018 as
well as a
sharp fall in
indirect
revenues
following the
terrorist
attacks. While
the program
targets agreed
at the time of
the fifth
review are no
longer within
reach, the
authorities
are committed
to achieve a
primary fiscal
surplus of 0.2
percent of GDP
in 2019,
through
implementation
of remaining
revenue
measures in
the 2019
budget and
prudent
expenditure
management.
“The mission
welcomed the
authorities’
commitment to
advance
revenue-based
fiscal
consolidation
in 2020 and
over the
medium term to
preserve the
gains achieved
under the
program, put
the high
public debt on
a downward
path, and
provide space
for
better-targeted
social and
capital
spending.
Sustained
efforts are
needed to
mobilize
revenues, by
broadening the
tax base and
enforcing
compliance,
and strengthen
spending
efficiency. To
anchor public
debt
sustainability,
the mission
welcomed the
authorities’
plans to
revamp fiscal
rules and
establish an
independent
public debt
management
agency over
the medium
term, in line
with
international
best practice.
Improving the
financial
performance of
SriLankan
Airlines and
advancing
energy sector
reforms,
including by
tackling cost
inefficiencies
and subsidies
in the
electricity
sector, remain
critical steps
to reduce
fiscal risks.
“The mission
supported the
Central Bank
of Sri Lanka
(CBSL)’s
prudent and
data-dependent
monetary
policy
approach and
their renewed
commitment to
strengthen
reserve
buffers in
line with
program
understandings.
The CBSL
should
continue to
allow for
exchange rate
flexibility
and limit FX
intervention
to smooth
excess
volatility, in
the event
pressures from
tighter global
financial
conditions
were to
intensify. The
new Central
Bank Act will
be a landmark
reform in the
roadmap
towards
flexible
inflation
targeting by
strengthening
the CBSL’s
mandate,
governance,
accountability,
and
transparency,
in line with
international
best practice.
“The CBSL
adopted
temporary
measures to
support the
tourism sector
and ease
credit
conditions in
the aftermath
of the
terrorist
attacks,
including a
debt service
moratorium and
caps on bank
interest
rates. These
exceptional
measures
should be
lifted as soon
as credit
conditions
stabilize to
avoid
distortions to
the financial
system, amid
weaker credit
quality and
falling
profitability.
The mission
welcomed the
ongoing
efforts to
strengthen the
regulatory and
supervisory
regime for
banks and
non-bank
financial
institutions....
The team met
with Prime
Minister
Wickremesinghe,
Minister of
Finance
Samaraweera,
State Minister
of Finance
Wickramaratne,
Governor of
the Central
Bank of Sri
Lanka
Coomaraswamy,
Secretary to
the Treasury
Samaratunga,
Senior Deputy
Governor
Weerasinghe,
other public
officials,
representatives
of the
Parliamentary
Opposition,
business
community,
civil society,
and
international
partners."
On
September 12 Inner
City Press
asked the IMF:
"On Zimbabwe,
please confirm
or deny IMF's
Patrick Imam
saying that
"it is clear,
compared to
the
projections of
the original
SMP, which did
not foresee
the severity
of the drought
and its
secondary
impact, nor
the
electricity
shock, that
growth is
almost
certainly
going to be
revised
downwards and
inflation
upwards
compared to
the original
SMP
forecasts."
And what is
the IMF's view
of the
(economic)
impact of the
crack down on
protest and
human rights
defenders?"
Spokesperson
Gerry Rice said that
the IMF team
is in Harare,
from September
5 to 17. On
human rights,
he said the
IMF "focuses
on economics"
and that such
questions
should be
directed to...
bilateral
creditor. At
least he
didn't say the
UN, which
doesn't care.
Here are Inner
City Press' other
questions to
the IMF:
On
Somalia,
please provide
a read out or
response to
reports that
Somali
Minister of
Finance
Abdirahman
Duale Beyle
met officials
from the
IMF
Addis Ababa to
discuss the
fourth phase
of the Somali
pardon
program.
On Sri
Lanka, what is
the IMF's
response to
Independent
Expert on
foreign debt
and human
rights, Juan
Pablo
Bohoslavsky,
sayins that in
Sri Lanka,
there are
concerns at
the
significant
rise in the
value added
tax, given
that the brunt
of such taxes
is often borne
by the
poorest?
More
generally,
what is the
IMF's response
to Bohoslavsky
saying as to
the IMF that
"even though
austerity can
be a useful
tool of
administration
against the
squandering of
resources, it
is essential
to keep in
mind that
austerity
impacts the
most
vulnerable and
marginalised"?
On
crypto-currency
what is the
IMF's response
to Marshall
Islands
Minister David
Paul saying
the country is
moving forward
with its
plans.
According to
the post,
Minister Paul
will provide
further
details about
the Marshall
Islands’
crypto, the
Sovereign,
next week at
the Invest:
Asia 2019
conference?
Within months,
the IMF began
putting
pressure on
the Marshall
Islands to not
forego the
U.S. dollar in
favor of its
own digital
currency. The
Fund issued a
58-page report
in September
2018 and
warned against
the "potential
costs arising
from economic,
reputational,
AML/CFT, and
governance
risks"
associated
with the
issuance of
the Sovereign.
On the
DR Congo, what
is the IMF's
knowledge of,
and comment
on, that all
the big-name
advisory banks
are laying
siege to the
presidential
palace in the
hope of
winning the
contract to
advise the DRC
on its
relations with
the IMF?" Inner
City Press also asked,
again, for
"any updates
on Cameroon or
Haiti or
Yemen." Watch
this site.
More
here.
***
Feedback:
Editorial [at] innercitypress.com
UN Office: S-303,
UN, NY 10017 USA
Reporter's mobile (and weekends):
718-716-3540
Other, earlier Inner City Press are
listed here,
and some are available in the ProQuest
service, and now on Lexis-Nexis.
Copyright 2006-2019 Inner City
Press, Inc. To request reprint or other
permission, e-contact Editorial [at]
innercitypress.com for
|