IMF
Speaks on Morocco Liquidity
Line After Answering Inner
City Press On E Guinea But Not
W Sahara
By Matthew
Russell Lee, CJR PFT NY
Post
NEW YORK CITY,
Nov 11 – When
the
International
Monetary Fund
held its
biweekly
embargoed
media briefing
on November
7,
Inner City
Press
submitted
questions including
on Equatorial
Guinea,
answered below.
Now on
November 11,
the IMF has
spoken on
Morocco (but
not mentions,
as per usual,
whether it
includes or
does not
Western
Sahara) "An
International
Monetary Fund
(IMF) staff
team led by
Nicolas
Blancher
visited
Morocco from
October 29 to
November 7,
2019 to
conduct
discussions
with the
Moroccan
authorities on
the second
review under
the
Precautionary
and Liquidity
Line (PLL)
arrangement.
The IMF
Executive
Board approved
the PLL
arrangement
for Morocco in
the amount of
SDR 2.15
billion (about
US$3 billion)
in December
2018 (See
Press Release
No. 18/477).
The
authorities
have not drawn
on the PLL and
intend to keep
the
arrangement as
precautionary.
At the end of
the mission,
Mr. Blancher
made the
following
statement:
"Morocco’s
macroeconomic
policies and
performance
remain sound,
despite
volatility in
cereal
production,
weak growth in
trading
partners, and
elevated
external
risks. The
Moroccan
authorities
remain
committed to
important
fiscal,
financial and
structural
reforms, which
should
strengthen the
economy’s
resilience to
external
shocks and
support higher
and more
inclusive
growth.
“Given a
contraction in
agricultural
output and
subdued
non-agricultural
activity,
growth is
projected at
2.8 percent in
2019, and
inflation
would slow to
0.4 percent.
Unemployment
rate remains
at 9.4 percent
in the third
quarter of
2019 while
labor market
participation
rate is at
44.9
percent.
"The current
account
deficit is
projected to
narrow to
about 5.1
percent of GDP
in 2019, while
international
reserves
should reach
US$25.5
billion at the
end of 2019,
equivalent to
about 5.2
months of
imports. The
IMF team
welcomes the
authorities’
intention to
gradually move
to a more
flexible
exchange rate
regime, which
will allow the
Moroccan
economy to
better absorb
external
shocks and
preserve its
competitiveness.
"The fiscal
deficit is
projected to
increase to 4
percent of GDP
by 2019, due
to a higher
increase in
capital
investments
than in tax
revenues. The
IMF team
welcomed the
authorities’
plans to
accelerate
fiscal reforms
in the years
ahead, in line
with the
conclusions of
the Mai 2019
national tax
conference." Yeah, Mai.
Back on
November
7
Inner City
Press asked: "On
Equatorial
Guinea, what
is the status
(and dollar
volume) of the
IMF's
consideration
of a program,
and the
weighing if at
all on the
length of time
Obiang has
been in power?
"The loan, the
amount of
which has not
been revealed,
is scheduled
to be
considered by
the IMF
executive
board in
December."
From
the IMF's
November 7 transcript,
with video on page:
"There's
another
question from
Matthew, which
I'll take on
Equatorial
Guinea, asking
what's the
status and the
volume of the
IMF's
consideration
of a program
for Equatorial
Guinea and the
weighing, if
at all, length
of time that
President
Obiang has
been in power.
On that, I can
say that just
recently on
October 21st,
the Equatorial
Guinea
authorities
and an IMF
team reached
staff level
agreement on a
three-year
arrangement.
Again, under
the extended
Fund facility,
which is the
more
concessional
arm of the
IMF's lending.
The
authorities
are working on
an agreed set
of measures
that could
allow the new
program to be
considered by
the IMF's
Executive
Board in
December. And
Matthew had
asked about
the volume.
We're looking
at the program
that could be
supported by
approximately
$280 million.
So, that's
four [sic]
Equatorial
Guinea.
And anything
else in the
room?"
On September
26 Spokesperson already
then
Gerry
Rice,
for new
Managing
Director
Kristalina
Georgieva, on
Turkey said "this is also from
Matthew, he has
asked '
On Turkey,
what is the
IMF's response
to ruling AKP
deputy chair
Numan
Kurtulmuş
criticizing a
meeting
between IMF
&
opposition
parties,
saying Turkey
has "closed
the topic with
the IMF."'
Then Rice said
it is normal
to meet with
opposition -
except in
Cameroon,
apparently -
and that there
has been no
indication
from the Turkish
authorities
they are
looking for a
program.
Here
are Inner City
Press' other
questions to
the IMF:
On
Somalia,
please provide
a read out or
response to
reports that
Somali
Minister of
Finance
Abdirahman
Duale Beyle
met officials
from the
IMF
Addis Ababa to
discuss the
fourth phase
of the Somali
pardon
program.
On Sri
Lanka, what is
the IMF's
response to
Independent
Expert on
foreign debt
and human
rights, Juan
Pablo
Bohoslavsky,
sayins that in
Sri Lanka,
there are
concerns at
the
significant
rise in the
value added
tax, given
that the brunt
of such taxes
is often borne
by the
poorest?
More
generally,
what is the
IMF's response
to Bohoslavsky
saying as to
the IMF that
"even though
austerity can
be a useful
tool of
administration
against the
squandering of
resources, it
is essential
to keep in
mind that
austerity
impacts the
most
vulnerable and
marginalised"?
On
crypto-currency
what is the
IMF's response
to Marshall
Islands
Minister David
Paul saying
the country is
moving forward
with its
plans.
According to
the post,
Minister Paul
will provide
further
details about
the Marshall
Islands’
crypto, the
Sovereign,
next week at
the Invest:
Asia 2019
conference?
Within months,
the IMF began
putting
pressure on
the Marshall
Islands to not
forego the
U.S. dollar in
favor of its
own digital
currency. The
Fund issued a
58-page report
in September
2018 and
warned against
the "potential
costs arising
from economic,
reputational,
AML/CFT, and
governance
risks"
associated
with the
issuance of
the Sovereign.
On the
DR Congo, what
is the IMF's
knowledge of,
and comment
on, that all
the big-name
advisory banks
are laying
siege to the
presidential
palace in the
hope of
winning the
contract to
advise the DRC
on its
relations with
the IMF?" Inner
City Press also asked,
again, for
"any updates
on Cameroon or
Haiti or
Yemen." Watch
this site.
More
here.
***
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