On
Romania IMF Worries Bank
Exposure To Romanian State
After Inner City Press Asks
About Corruption
By Matthew
Russell Lee, CJR PFT NY
Post
NEW YORK CITY,
June 7 – When
the
International
Monetary Fund
held its
biweekly
embargoed
media briefing
on May 23,
Inner City
Press
submitted four
questions including
on
conflicts of
interest,
Republic of
Congo, Barbados
and Canada
which the
IMF answered, see below.
Now on June 7
about Romania,
running this
day against
Estonia for a
UN Security
Council seat,
the IMF
has said this:
"An IMF
staff team
visited
Bucharest
during May
27-June 7 to
conduct the
2019 Article
IV
consultation
discussions. While
helping
people’s
income to rise
faster towards
the levels in
advanced
European Union
(EU)
countries,
Romania’s
consumption-fueled
growth has
raised
macroeconomic
imbalances... The
banking system
remains sound.
The capital
and liquidity
positions are
solid and
non-performing
loans have
approached the
EU average
level. Good
progress has
been made to
improve
resilience, in
line with the
2018 Financial
Sector
Assessment
Program
recommendations,
including
implementation
of a
debt-service-to-income
limit and
currency-differentiated
liquidity
requirements.
A systemic
risk buffer is
being
considered to
address the
vulnerability
arising from
banks’ large
exposure to
the Romanian
state. Several
measures
included in
emergency
ordinance
114/2018 (and
subsequent
amendments)
leave room for
further
adjustment in
light of their
likely adverse
effects on
economic
development.
The
sector-specific
taxes and
incentives—including
on banks,
construction
and
utilities—could
create
distortions
that hinder
investment or
the efficient
allocation of
resources."
We'll have
more on this.
Back on
May 23
on
Congo-Brazzaville
Inner City
Press asked,
"what is the
IMF's response
to / comment
or explanation
on the
May 15 letter
addressed to
Congolese
Prime Minister
Clement
Mouamba that
"The advisers
to the
Republic wish
to make you
aware of the
major risk of
the
programme’s
rejection by
the IMF’s
board,” said
Congo hired
French
financial
advisers
Lazard and
more recently
Parnasse, a
firm employing
former IMF
Managing
Director
Dominique
Stauss-Kahn,
to assist it
in the
negotiations
with the Fund.
How is this
not a conflict
of interest?"
IMF spokesperson
Gerry Rice to his
credit took
the question,
on camera,
emphasizing
that the
discussion have
been only
between IMF
staff and the
authorities,
no one else.
He said that
address the
conflict of
interest
question. He
also noted the
IMF's May 9
announcement
of a staff
level
agreement. But
when will it
go to the
Board?
On
Barbados, Inner
City Press
asked for
"
the IMF's
response to
Senator
Crystal Drakes
saying
that the Mia
Mottley
administration
may have hit
the benchmarks
set under the
IMF-sanctioned
Barbados
Economic
Recovery and
Transformation
programme but
is ignoring
it’s sustained
and impending
collateral
damage to the
society.
“All of this
has come at a
social cost.
Meeting those
targets have
been economic
winds but
socially we
have paid a
serious price
for meeting
those
targets.
“In reducing
our debt and
closing the
fiscal gap,
Barbadians had
to give up
their wealth,
particularly
the vulnerable
group of
pensioners.
“Their
disposable
income through
higher taxes
and user fees,
has resulted
in persons
falling below
the poverty
line.”
Rice
said the IMF's
discussions
had been with
social
partners
including the
unions and
that the floor
for social
spending had
been met, by
an ample
margin, in
December and
March.
On
Canada Inner
City Press
asked,
"
On Canada,
please explain
how this IMF
"advice" is
not anti-poor:
“The
government is
under pressure
to ease
macroprudential
policy or
introduce new
initiatives
that buttress
housing
activity,”
said the IMF
in its
report.
“This would be
ill-advised,
as household
debt remains
high and a
gradual
slowdown in
the housing
market is
desirable to
reduce
vulnerabilities.”
The tightened
mortgage
rules, brought
in by Finance
Minister Bill
Morneau,
mandated that
would-be
borrowers
undergo a
stress test to
determine
whether they
could still
make payments
if faced with
higher
interest rates
or less
income.
In a report
last month
that calls for
a rethinking
of the
mortgage
stress test,
CIBC economist
Benjamin Tal
estimated the
measure
accounted for
more than half
of a
$25-billion,
or eight per
cent, drop in
new mortgages
last year." Rice
said, among other
things, that the
IMF supports
the
government. More on
this, including
transcript, to
follow. And on
this:
As
China uses its
Belt and Road
Initiative to
take over ports in
Sri Lanka and
prospectively
Kenya, while
using supposed
NGOs to bribe
UN officials
including bidding
on an oil company
owned by
Gulbenkian
Foundations
whose payments
to UN
Secretary
General
Antonio
Guterres were
omitted from
his public
financial disclosure
covering 2016,
even the IMF's
Christine Lagarde is
genuflecting
in Beijing,
albeit
less cravenly
than Guterres.
Unlike
Guterres' obsequious
blue washing
of BRI,
Lagarde in her
April 26
speech as
least gently
chided China
for
unsustainable
loans. She
said, "The BRI
is clearly
having an
impact. From
stimulating
infrastructure
investment to
developing new
global supply
chains, some
of the
promises of
BRI are being
realized.
Consider
Kazakhstan,
where a new
manufacturing
zone is
beginning to
unleash
previously
untapped
economic
potential. Or
look at
Senegal, where
robust
economic
growth of over
6 percent in
each of the
last four
years was
supported
partly by
BRI-linked
investment
projects,
including the
construction
of a new
highway
linking the
airport to
three large
cities. At the
same time,
history has
taught us
that, if not
managed
carefully,
infrastructure
investments
can lead to a
problematic
increase in
debt. I have
said before
that, to be
fully
successful,
the Belt and
Road should
only go where
it is needed.
I would add
today that it
should only go
where it is
sustainable,
in all
aspects." But
what does this
mean in terms
of the BRI
loans to Sri
Lanka, and to
the Kenya
railroad?
We'll have more on
this.
When
the
International
Monetary Fund
held its
biweekly
embargoed
media briefing
on March
7,
Inner City
Press
submitted five
questions including
on
Haiti which the
IMF answered.
But on
March 21 the
IMF added this, that
it hopes the
"uncertainty"
is resolved
quickly. Inner
City Press has
submitted five
new questions,
unanswered as
of the embargo
time
perhaps due to
the IMF
changing its
media website
and sign in:
"On
Congo-Brazzaville,
what is the
IMF's comment
on the
revolving door
report that
The Republic
of Congo
sought the
assistance of
former
International
Monetary Fund
Managing
Director
Dominique
Strauss-Kahn
as the
debt-strapped
nation’s bid
to secure a
bailout
stretches into
a third
year.
Strauss-Kahn
and Lazard
France Chief
Executive
Officer
Mathieu
Pigasse
traveled to
the Congolese
capital,
Brazzaville,
in January for
talks with
President
Denis Sassou
Nguesso,
Finance
Ministry
spokesman
Adrien Wayi
Lewy
said?
On Sri
Lanka, what is
the IMF's
response to
senior banker
Rusiripala
Tennakoon
saying this
IMF has failed
to realize
that the
non-performing
portfolio of
the state
banks will be
in a worse
situation in
2-3 months
time. He
noted that by
having to
finance some
of the
state-owned
enterprises,
which are
deteriorating
the banks are
running the
risks of
becoming
undercapitalised.
Tennakoon
noted that the
IMF has failed
to identify
the impending
danger the
entire banking
industry in
the country is
facing. He
noted that
especially,
the
state-owned
banks and
their
non-performing
portfolios are
increasing
tremendously
signaling
danger?
What is
the IMF's
reaction to
moves in the
Marshall
Islands toward
the Sovereign
(SOV) digital
currency on an
equal footing
with the US
dollar. It
passed a key
bill this week
for SOV’s
creation. "IMF
has criticized
the plans with
a number of
concerns
including the
risk of money
laundering and
that the
Marshall
Islands could
lose its only
corresponding
banking
relationship."
What
now?
On
Ukraine, what
is the IMF's
response,
confirmation
or denial to
that Chairman
of the
Verkhovna Rada
Committee on
Legislative
Support of Law
Enforcement,
Andriy
Kozhemyakin,
states that
the U.S. and
EU
ambassadors,
as well as the
IMF mission,
are asking to
postpone
consideration
of bills
regarding
illegal
enrichment. The
statement came
during the
Conciliation
Board meeting
on Monday.
Speaking of
bills related
to Article
368-2 of the
Criminal Code
of Ukraine
(illegal
enrichment),
Kozhemyakin
said: "The
U.S.
ambassador,
the IMF
mission, and
the EU
ambassador
wrote me a
letter today.
They ask to
postpone
consideration
of all draft
laws as they
are imperfect,
including the
presidential
one."
True?
On
Liberia, what
is the IMF's
comment on
that the
George
Weah-led
administration
would be dealt
a major blow
amid the
current
economic
turmoil as the
biggest
employer in
the country’s
private
sector,
Firestone
Natural Rubber
Company,
announces the
laying off of
800
employees.
“After a
thorough and
strategic
review of its
current
operations in
Liberia, West
Africa,
Firestone
Natural Rubber
Company, an
indirect
subsidiary of
Bridgestone
Americas,
Inc., has
announced the
difficult
decision to
reduce its
workforce by
13%
(approximately
800 employees)
by early
second quarter
of 2019?
Also if there
are any
updates on
Cameroon or Morocco." On
Cameroon, not
unrelated to
the DSK
history, there
is rarely
an answer. Watch
this site.
Here's
the
IMF's March 7
transcript:
"There is
question on
Haiti coming
from Matthew
Lee in New
York. I'll
take a couple
of Matthew's
questions as
usual. And
Matthew is
asking about
any updates I
can give him
on Haiti. And
I can say that
an IMF team is
in Port
Au-Prince as
we speak to
complete the
Article IV
consultation.
But more than
that, to
discuss a
possible IMF
financial
arrangement
with Haiti.
And we will
hear more on
that very,
very
soon.
But I can say
that the
mission will
propose that
what the
mission will
propose is
highly
concessional,
on the most
concessional
terms we can
offer for
Haiti and it
will highlight
social
protection. It
will highlight
the fight
against
corruption
while
deferring any
fuel price
adjustments
until the
government is
able to
guarantee that
the most
vulnerable
will be
protected from
any negative
effects.
Those of you
who follow
Haiti, you
know, will
understand the
context of
what I have
just said. And
again, the
mission will
communicate
its findings
at the end of
the visit." Now,
11 hours
later, the IMF
announces
this: "In
response to a
request from
the Haitian
authorities,
an
International
Monetary Fund
(IMF) mission
led by Mr.
Chris Walker
visited
Port-au-Prince
from February
25 to March 8,
2019 to
discuss IMF
support for
measures to
ease poverty,
encourage good
governance,
raise growth
and stabilize
the country’s
economic
situation. At
the end of the
visit, Mr.
Walker issued
the following
statement:
“I am pleased
to announce
that in
support of the
government and
the people of
Haiti, we, the
IMF, the
Haitian
government and
the Central
Bank of Haiti
(Banque de la
République
d’Haiti (BRH))
have reached
an IMF
staff-level
agreement on a
concessional 0
percent,
three-year
loan of US$
229 million
for Haiti.
This agreement
will have to
be approved by
the IMF’s
Executive
Board, which
is expected to
consider
Haiti’s
request in the
coming
weeks.
“The agreement
we have
reached is
aimed at
helping Haiti
overcome its
current
fragile state,
and
alleviating
the hardship
of the most
vulnerable. We
have placed
social
protection
firmly at the
center of the
accord, and
once the
agreed
measures are
successfully
implemented,
the poorest in
Haiti will be
among the
first to
benefit in a
tangible
way. The
program
provides money
for a variety
of social
protection
measures
ranging from
school
feeding,
through
targeted cash
transfers, to
money for
social
housing.
“Priority has
also been
given to the
fight against
corruption and
improvements
in
governance.
The IMF backs
the
government’s
aim of state
reform.
In its
agreement, it
has drawn up
measurable
targets to
boost this
fight with the
goal of
injecting
greater
transparency
into the
management of
public
finances, tax
and revenue
administration,
as well as
expenditure
control.
“To enable
Haiti to
return to
macroeconomic
stability, the
loan to Haiti
represents 100
percent of
quota, and the
money will be
disbursed over
the three
years of the
program which
is subject to
regular
Executive
Board and
staff reviews."
More
here.
***
Feedback:
Editorial [at] innercitypress.com
UN Office: S-303,
UN, NY 10017 USA
Reporter's mobile (and weekends):
718-716-3540
Other, earlier Inner City Press are
listed here,
and some are available in the ProQuest
service, and now on Lexis-Nexis.
Copyright 2006-2019 Inner City
Press, Inc. To request reprint or other
permission, e-contact Editorial [at]
innercitypress.com for
|