On
S. Sudan
Firings &
Oil, IMF Says
Effects Will
Be
"Severe," UN
Mute
By
Matthew
Russell Lee
UNITED
NATIONS, July
25, updated --
While the UN
has yet to
speak on the
mass firing
of ministers
by South
Sudan's Salva
Kiir, when
Inner City
Press asked
the
International
Monetary Fund
at its
embargoed
Thursday
briefing,
the IMF by
contrast has
an answer.
Inner
City Press
asked, "On
South Sudan,
how does IMF
view the
recent
firing of Vice
President and
ministers...
Petroleum Act
and impending
shut off of
oil, what
impact may
these have?"
IMF
deputy
spokesperson
William Murray
said, "the
effect on
South
Sudan and
Sudan are
likely to be
quite severe,
given the run
down of
their reserve
buffers since
2011 and a
progressive
build up of
economic and
social
tension."
About
the firings,
Murray said
the IMF can't
be precise
what they mean
for
severe
economic
dislocation.
But, he said,
the IMF "hopes
both
countries
implement
their recent
agreements."
Who doesn't?
From
the IMF's transcript of Inner City Press' question:
I have
a question on
South Sudan.
We'll jump to
Africa. I
think we'll
move off
Europe for
awhile. On
South Sudan:
“How
does the IMF
view the
recent firing
of the vice
president and
ministers and
non-passage of
the petroleum
act? What
impact may
this have?”
Thanks
for that
question. The
effects on
both
countries,
both South
Sudan and
Sudan, are
likely to be
quite severe,
given the
rundown of
their reserve
buffers since
2011, and a
progressive
build up of
economic and
social
tensions. We
can't give you
a precise
analysis of
what these
firings mean
in terms of
the severity
of the
economic
dislocations
in South Sudan
and Sudan, but
we basically
hope that both
countries will
implement
their recent
agreements,
given their
importance for
regional peace
and economic
stability. We
also think
that
implementing
these
agreements
will help
relieve the
economic
pressures that
have been
building up
since oil was
shut down
there in
January of
2012.
Simultaneously
at
the UN in New
York, US
Secretary of
State John
Kerry brought
up
South Sudan,
or really
Jonglei state,
making
a call for
humanitarian
access on
President Kiir
"and others."
What
others?
Kerry
was at the UN
for a meeting
about the
Great Lakes
region, with
by video Jim Kim,
president of
the World
Bank (but no
one from the
IMF) in
attendance.
But even Ban
Ki-moon
said the
"first" order
of business
was Syria. And
his UN
has yet to
speak about
the firings in
South Sudan.
Is he waiting
for
instructions?
Watch this
site.
Footnote:
Inner
City Press has
also asked the
IMF about
Belarus and
Burundi:
"On Burundi,
what is IMF's
advice to the
country, does
the IMF
share concerns
(such as those
expressed by
UN
Peacebuilding
configuration
chair this
week), what
are the next
steps?"