IMF
on Uruguay Cites Debt
Sustainability After Answering
Inner City Press on Somalia and
Crypto
By Matthew
Russell Lee, CJR PFT NY
Post
NEW YORK CITY,
Feb 20 – When
the
International
Monetary Fund
held its
biweekly
embargoed
media briefing
on February
13,
Inner City
Press
submitted
questions including
on
Somalia and
Bangladesh, on
crypto
currency here
and on Egypt,
see below.
Now
on February 20,
the IMF has
issued this on
Uruguay: "On
February 19,
2020, the
Executive
Board of the IMF concluded
the Article IV
consultation
with Uruguay... The
level of real
GDP is
expected to be
permanently
higher.
Inflation is
expected to
remain at
around 8
percent in
2020 and then
to decline
gradually to
the upper
limit of the
target range
as temporary
factors wear
off and
private-sector
wage increases
follow the
declining path
agreed in the
last round of
negotiations.
There are
sizable upside
and downside
risks to the
outlook. On
the downside,
economic
developments
in Argentina
remain an
outsized risk,
even though
the likelihood
of direct
financial
spillovers is
small. A host
of global
factors (trade
disruptions,
lower growth,
abrupt
declines in
risk appetite,
large swings
in energy
prices) and of
local ones
(loss of
credibility
and further
increases in
debt due to
insufficient
fiscal
adjustment or
delayed
reforms and
PPP projects)
may undermine
the expected
recovery and
limit
medium-term
growth... They
noted that
domestic
imbalances
have emerged
and debt has
risen, while
economic
growth,
investment,
and employment
have declined,
and inflation
has remained
outside the
target range.
In this
context, they
stressed that
the political
and domestic
economic
landscape over
the next few
years presents
an opportunity
to decisively
address these
challenges.
Directors
noted that,
while gross
financing
needs are
manageable due
to the
authorities’
pre-financing
policy and
robust
buffers, a
continuation
of current
fiscal trends
could
undermine debt
sustainability."
On February 14
IMF
spokesperson
Gerry Rice
read out Inner
City Press
Somalia
question: "In
Somalia, it is
reported that
"Bangladesh
has agreed
partially pay
to the IMF as
debt relief
for Somalia
under the HIPC
Initiative.
'Bangladesh's
international
image would
benefit from
the grant,'
said a finance
ministry
official...
[MD] Georgieva
wrote to FM
AHM Mustafa
Kamal, seeking
SDR 0.70
million. " Is
this true? Can
you explain?"
Rice explained
that the IMF's
board had met
about Somalia
the previous
day, February
12, and that
it expects to
issue a press
release later
on February 13
in conjunction
with the World
Bank. He
explained that
not only
Bangladesh is
being asked -
thankfully -
but also
others, to chip
in and help.
But will the
public know
which countries
paid?
On
Egypt, Inner
City Press asked,
"
On Egypt, it
is reported
that the
country is in
talks with the
IMF over a
"non-financial
structural
reform
program.. Now
that the
fiscal and the
monetary
reform has
been done,
we’re talking
about
structural
reforms,”
Tarek Amer
said Tuesday
at an energy
conference in
Cairo. Please
elaborate and
give the IMF's
thinking."
Rice said, among
other things,
that talks
continue.
More
here.
***
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