On
Yemen IMF After Amman Visit
Talks Up Harmonizing Central
Bank Branches As Airstrikes
Continue
By Matthew
Russell Lee, CJR PFT NY
Post
NEW YORK CITY,
July 19 – When
the
International
Monetary Fund
held its
biweekly
embargoed
media briefing
on June 27,
Inner City
Press
submitted six
questions including
on
Zimbabwe and
Moldova which the
IMF answered, see
below. On July 19
on Yemen
the
IMF issued
this: "An
International
Monetary Fund
(IMF) team led
by Koshy
Mathai visited
Amman during
July 10-18,
2019, to meet
with a Yemeni
delegation
including
government and
central bank
representatives.
The team also
met
private-sector
participants.
The
discussions
covered recent
economic
developments
in Yemen, the
outlook, and
economic
policies. At
the end of the
visit, Mr.
Mathai made
the following
statement:
“Conflict has
crippled
Yemen’s
economy and
pushed the
country into a
humanitarian
crisis. A
sharp
contraction in
economic
activity and
hydrocarbon
exports, along
with a wide
suspension of
basic public
services, have
left some 17
million people
in acute need
of food aid
and other
forms of
assistance.
Public
institutions,
including the
central bank,
have been
fragmented,
contributing,
among other
problems, to
coordination
difficulties
on import
financing and
nonpayment of
salaries for
many civil
servants in
areas outside
government
control.
“Macroeconomic
pressures have
abated
recently but
remain
considerable.
Following the
sharp output
declines of
2014-17,
growth has
moved back
into positive
territory,
albeit now
from a much
lower per
capita income
level. Donor
financing and
increased
hydrocarbon
receipts were
key factors in
quelling last
year’s
dramatic
volatility in
the exchange
rate and food
prices, and
basic food
imports
increased
toward prewar
levels,
supported also
by
humanitarian
aid. The
government’s
resumption of
payments to a
large number
of workers and
all pensioners
in areas
outside its
control was a
welcome step
toward
restoring
household
purchasing
power. We urge
the government
to pay all
civil-service
salaries
throughout the
country.
“Additional
donor
financing,
enhanced
revenue
collection,
and further
expenditure
prioritization
will be needed
to maintain
economic
stability.
Despite the
expected
increase in
hydrocarbon
revenues, the
fiscal deficit
will likely
remain too
large to be
financed via
non-inflationary
means.
Spending
restraint
while
protecting
priority
spending,
including
transfers to
the poor and
salary
payments
across the
country, will
thus be
necessary.
Additional
financing will
also be
needed, both
to avoid
resorting to
central bank
financing of
the deficit
and to support
essential
imports. The
IMF is very
concerned
about the
humanitarian
and economic
costs of the
conflict, and
is working
with donors to
urgently
finance basic
imports and
support the
payment of
public-sector
wages and
social
assistance.
“The
government has
already made
significant
progress in
rebuilding its
technical
cadre and
improving data
collection and
analysis,
enabling it to
take the
important step
of preparing a
national
budget for
2019—the first
in five years.
Further
capacity
building,
however, will
be needed and
could be
supported by
donors in a
range of areas
including
central bank
operations and
supervision,
the payments
system, and
public
financial
management.
Increased
transparency
and
strengthened
internal
controls would
also help
build the
confidence
required to
catalyze
much-needed
financial
support from
donors.
“Building on
recent
progress in
strengthening
administrative
capacity, it
will be
critical to
overcome
institutional
fragmentation
and harmonize
policy
implementation
across the
country.
Strengthened
supervisory
capacity over
the entire
financial
system,
including in
terms of
further
promoting
compliance
with
anti-money
laundering and
combating the
financing of
terrorism
(AML/CFT)
standards,
will also be
needed, as
will
improvements
in statistics,
public
financial
management,
and other
areas. All
this would
also enhance
the absorption
of capacity
building
support from
donors,
ensuring
harmonized
upgrading of
the central
bank systems
across all its
branches.
“The mission
team would
like to thank
the
authorities
for the frank
policy
dialogue and
looks forward
to continued
close
engagement."
On
June 27,
on
Zimbabwe
Inner City
Press
asked, "On
Zimbabwe, what
is the IMF's
response to
Finance
Minister
Mthuli Ncube
saying 'The
first order of
business is to
clear the
arrears and
then move on
to phase two,
which is the
bilateral
discussions
with the Paris
Club'
- asked if
Zimbabwe would
seek financing
from the IMF
next year,
Ncube said: 'Why
not? We can
only ask, they
can only say
no'?"
Camilla
Andersen,
Assistant
Director of the
IMF's
Communications
Department, read
out Inner City
Press'
question and
replied among
other things
that while Zimbabwe
has cleared
its arrears to
the IMF, other
debts
that would
have to be
cleared
remain. She
cited the
Staff Managed
Program running
into 2020
(transcript to
come).
On
Moldova Inner
City Press
asked, "On
Moldova,
please confirm
or deny this
from the
government:
"The head of
the IMF
mission, Ruben
Atoyan, said
that the
International
Monetary Fund
had quite
attentively
monitored the
situation in
Moldova and
that the Fund
showed full
openness to
help
Moldova.
... The
resumption of
the
negotiations
with the
International
Monetary Fund
and
implementation
of the
provisions of
the memorandum
of economic
and financial
policies will
allow Moldova
receiving the
last two
installments
of the
financing
program on
behalf of the
Fund, worth
about 66
million
Dollars."
The IMF's
Camilla Andersen
replied among
other things
that the the
IMF has disbursed
$112 million
under the
program and
continues to
assess (full
transcript to
come).
Back on
June 13 Inner
City Press asked, "what
is the IMF's
response to JI
leader Sirajul
Haq criticism
of the "budget
of IMF purely
concentrating
only on
increasing
taxes and
prices of
essential
commodities,
and was just
read out by
its
slaves.
He said the
budget did not
care about
reducing the
problems of
common man and
price hike,
adding that it
was just a
jugglery of
figures and
words which
was
incomprehensible
even to the
economic
champions of
the
government."
IMF
Spokesperson
Gerry Rice in
the briefing
said, transcript and
video here: "There
is a question
on Pakistan,
from our
friend Matthew
Lee in New
York, asking
in summary
what is the
IMF's response
to the
criticism of
the Pakistani
budget which
was recently
announced that
the IMF is
purely
concentrating
on increasing
taxes and
prices and
doesn’t care
about reducing
the problems
of the common
man. Again,
stepping back,
Pakistan has
requested a
program from
the IMF. Last
month we
reached a
staff level
agreement on
that program
so that’s now
under
discussion.
So, I don’t
really have a
specific
comment on the
budget.
But in terms
of our
discussions, I
can say that
we are talking
about broadly
how to restore
stronger, more
balanced
growth by
reducing
domestic and
external
imbalances,
improving the
business
environment,
strengthening
institutions,
increasing
transparency
and
importantly
protecting
social
spending. So
that last part
does indeed
speak broadly
to the point
that Matthew
is raising,
that social
spending is
and protecting
social
spending is in
fact an
important part
of the
discussion
that we are
having on a
program with
Pakistan."
Inner
City Press asked
asked, "On
Kenya, please
state the
status with
the IMF given
reports that
the country is
"on course to
renewing its
$1.5 billion
standby credit
facility with
the IMF
signing a deal
with selected
banks to
release close
to Ksh1
trillion ($10
billion) in
loans to the
private sector
despite the
prevailing
rate
caps."
On the
upcoming June
25-26 Bahrain
conference on
Palestine,
given that the
IMF has said
it "has been
invited to the
meeting and
expects to
attend, along
with other
international
financial
institutions,"
please state
if the IMF
understands
that the wider
United Nations
will attend,
and/or has
been invited."
Rice said,
"There
is a question
on Kenya.
“Please give
the status of
the IMF
program with
Kenya given
reports that
it's on course
to renew its
standby credit
facility.” And
on that about
all I can say
is that
negotiations
indeed are
ongoing on a
Fund supported
program. I
don't have a
timetable on
that but with
the
negotiations
are underway."
Inner City
Press asked asked,
again, for an
update on
Haiti.
Rice
said,
"There is a
final question
online that I
want to take
which is on
Haiti and
asking about
developments
there and the
status of IMF
discussions on
a program. And
again, this is
a case where
recently there
have been
protests on
the streets
and some
violence I'm
sad to say.
So, on that
front of
course as
always, we
express our
condolences
for the loss
of life there
in Sunday's
demonstrations
in particular.
And, what I
can also say
is that of
course we hope
that the
dialogue can
go forward
there and, you
know,
eliminate the
violence
that’s taking
place and that
we can have
some consensus
around a
reform
agenda.
On the program
and
discussions
around the
program, given
the time that
has now
elapsed since
the IMF team
reached a
staff level
agreement,
that was back
in March. And
given the
changes in
Haiti's'
economic
situation a
reassessment
of the
economic
framework and
of the
measures
needed to
stabilize and
support the
economy is
going to be
needed before
we would be in
the position
to propose a
program to our
executive
board. That
said, we look
forward to
engaging with
Haiti's new
government as
soon as
feasible to
find the best
way forward
and to protect
the most
vulnerable
groups,
improve
governance and
secure
macroeconomic
stability. So
that’s where
we are on
Haiti."
It's appreciated.
On May
23 Inner City
Press asked, "what
is the IMF's
response to /
comment or
explanation
on the
May 15 letter
addressed to
Congolese
Prime Minister
Clement
Mouamba that
"The advisers
to the
Republic wish
to make you
aware of the
major risk of
the
programme’s
rejection by
the IMF’s
board,” said
Congo hired
French
financial
advisers
Lazard and
more recently
Parnasse, a
firm employing
former IMF
Managing
Director
Dominique
Stauss-Kahn,
to assist it
in the
negotiations
with the Fund.
How is this
not a conflict
of interest?"
IMF spokesperson
Gerry Rice to his
credit took
the question,
on camera,
emphasizing
that the
discussion have
been only
between IMF
staff and the
authorities,
no one else.
He said that
address the
conflict of
interest
question. He
also noted the
IMF's May 9
announcement
of a staff
level
agreement. But
when will it
go to the
Board?
On
Barbados, Inner
City Press
asked for
"
the IMF's
response to
Senator
Crystal Drakes
saying
that the Mia
Mottley
administration
may have hit
the benchmarks
set under the
IMF-sanctioned
Barbados
Economic
Recovery and
Transformation
programme but
is ignoring
it’s sustained
and impending
collateral
damage to the
society.
“All of this
has come at a
social cost.
Meeting those
targets have
been economic
winds but
socially we
have paid a
serious price
for meeting
those
targets.
“In reducing
our debt and
closing the
fiscal gap,
Barbadians had
to give up
their wealth,
particularly
the vulnerable
group of
pensioners.
“Their
disposable
income through
higher taxes
and user fees,
has resulted
in persons
falling below
the poverty
line.”
Rice
said the IMF's
discussions
had been with
social
partners
including the
unions and
that the floor
for social
spending had
been met, by
an ample
margin, in
December and
March.
As
China uses its
Belt and Road
Initiative to
take over ports in
Sri Lanka and
prospectively
Kenya, while
using supposed
NGOs to bribe
UN officials
including bidding
on an oil company
owned by
Gulbenkian
Foundations
whose payments
to UN
Secretary
General
Antonio
Guterres were
omitted
from his
public
financial disclosure
covering 2016....
More
here.
***
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