By
Matthew
Russell Lee
UNITED
NATIONS,
February 5 --
The IMF's
biweekly
embargoed
briefing began
Thursday with
drama and a
guest:
Christine
Lagarde on
Ebola, in
English and
French, taking
two questions
then out.
The
IMF said,
"subject to
Board approval
of requests
from the
individual
countries, it
is expected
that the CCR
trust would
provide
grants-for-debt
relief of
close to $100
million for
the three
countries
affected by
Ebola in West
Africa
–Liberia,
Sierra Leone,
and Guinea.
These funds
would come in
addition to
the $130
million of
assistance
provided in
September 2014
and to
a second round
of new
concessional
loans
amounting to
about $160
million to be
considered
soon by the
Executive
Board."
Lagarde
said that one
country, which
she left
unnamed, has
made a
commitment
that they will
be announcing.
She cited
non-Paris club
members,
naming only
Russia as a
creditor of
Guinea. She
said there'll
be more at the
G20 in
Istanbul.
After that,
there were
seven
questions to
Lagarde's
spokesperson
Gerry Rice
about Greece
-- he declined
to comment on
the ECB
further
squeezing
Greece -- then
two on
Ukraine, where
the IMF is
said to be in
line for only
$6 billion of
the $15
billion now
requested. US
John Kerry is
in Kiev today,
including on
IMF.
Inner City
Press, before
and during the
briefing,
submitted
three
questions:
In
Ghana,
President
Mahama on Feb
3 said, “Ghana
is committed
to securing an
IMF programme
and we are
confident that
we will reach
agreement with
the IMF by the
end of this
quarter.” What
is the process
/ status at
the IMF?
On
Mongolia, what
is the process
forward on
their request
for an IMF
stand-by
arrangement?
When will a
visit to the
country take
place?
In
Sri Lanka on
bank
consolidation,
new Central
Bank Governor
Arjuna
Mahendran has
said “I have
also asked the
IMF to send
some technical
experts to
look at these
issues from an
international
perspective
and they have
agreed to do
so.” Can you
confirm that?
Would it be in
connection
with IMF visit
at the end of
February?
The
first two were
answered, and
will be
reported in
separate
stories. On
Sri Lanka,
which was not
answered
during the IMF
briefing, the
new government
is cutting off
payments to
Lagarde's
predecessor
Dominique
Strauss Kahn,
who once out
through the
revolving door
(of a
Manhattan
hotel) sold
his services
to the
Rajapaksas.
Any comment,
or future
safeguards, on
that?
On
Sri Lanka after
the briefing
and expiration
of the embargo
there was this
answer by
Gerry Rice of
the IMF: "“We
have been
discussing
with the
authorities a
multi-faceted
technical
assistance
mission on
financial
sector issues.
Looking at
financial
system
stability and
supervision in
the context of
the ongoing
consolidation
process is one
element. We
are currently
putting
together a
team to send
to Colombo,
but will
discuss with
the CBSL
specific needs
in the next
week so that
we can select
the best
experts and
structure the
mission. It
will likely
take place
after the
staff visit in
February, as
this is a
separate,
technical
assistance
exercise.”
On Ebola back
on November 13
Inner City
Press
asked about
Ebola,
including
World Bank
estimates of
budget
shortfalls in
Liberia.
Inner
City Press on
November 13
asked, "On
Ebola, what is
the IMF's
response to
the US call
for debt
forgiveness
for three
countries? The
World Bank has
indicated that
Liberia's
revised
2014-15 budget
has an unmet
financing gap
of more than
half of the
budget deficit
projected at
over $300
million. What
can or will
the IMF do
about this?"
IMF Deputy
Spokesperson
William Murray
replied that
given the
flare up of
Ebola cases in
unexpected
areas. "The
IMF staff's
previously
projections
were assuming
the epidemic
would be
brought under
control in the
first quarter
of 2015.
However it now
appears that
it could be
well into the
second half of
2015 before
the Ebola
epidemic is
brought under
control in
these three
countries."
Three hours
later at the
end of a UN
General
Assembly
session on
Ebola, Inner
City Press
asked a panel
of UNGA
President Sam
Kutesa and UN
Ebola envoys
Anthony
Banbury and
David Navarro
about the
IMF's new
projection: is
it consonant
with the UN's?
It was Tony
Banbury who
answered,
saying that
the UN is
aiming at 70%
safe burials
for example by
December 1 and
to turn the
Ebola epidemic
around.
Is that the
same thing as
getting the
epidemic
"under
control," the
definition
under which
the IMF now
projects the
second half of
2015?
The work goes
on. Watch this
site.
The day before
at the UN on
November 12
when the UN
Security
Council met,
Liberia's
Ambassador
Marjon Kamara
spoke not of
the IMF but of
the World
Bank, saying
"the World
Bank recently
gave a gloomy
depiction of
the economic
effects of the
disease on the
three most
affected
countries -
Guinea,
Liberia and
Sierra Leone."
Per Thoresson,
Deputy
Ambassador of
Sweden which
chairs the UN
Peacebuilding
configuration
on Liberia,
specified that
“according to
the World
Bank, the
two-year
regional
financial
impact could
reach $32.6
billion by the
end of 2015.
The World Bank
also indicated
that Liberia's
revised
2014-15 budget
has an unmet
financing gap
of more than
half of the
budget deficit
projected at
over $300
million.”
So where's the
money going to
come from?
Back on
October 30,
Inner City
Press asked
the
International
Monetary Fund
about its
stated $130
million
commitment to
Liberia,
Sierra Leone
and Guinea.
Inner City
Press asked
IMF
spokesperson
Gerry Rice for
an update at
the IMF's
embargoed
briefing on
October 30.
Rice said the
outlook has
worsened, with
region-wide
fall offs in
travel and
tourism. As to
the three
countries most
impacted,
there are
"large
financing
needs likely
for 2015."
At the Annual
Meetings
earlier this
month, the IMF
met with the
three
countries'
authorities,
Rice said.
"2015 is going
to be a
challenging
year." If the
outbreak
spreads, it
would have
larger
spillovers.
The IMF, Rice
said, is
ready. We'll
see.
In the UN
Security
Council on
November 12,
the head of UN
Peacekeeping
Herve Ladsous
recited that
Justice
Minister
Christiana Tah
resigned and
five soldiers
have been
demoted for
disciplinary
offenses while
enforcing a
quarantine of
an
Ebola-affected
community in
Monrovia.
Under Ladsous,
it must be
noted, UN
Peackeeping
has covered up
attacks on
civilians in
Darfur and the
Central
African
Republic.
Ladsous
himself refused
repeatedly to
answer Press
questions
about rapes by
his partners
in the DR
Congo Army.
Video
compilation
here. Most
recently,
Ladsous tried
to block the
Press' camera,
Vine
here. Thus
is the UN
UNdercut.
Also during
the October 30
embargoed IMF
briefing,
Inner City
Press
submitted this
question: "On
Ghana, does
the IMF have
any comment on
the October 28
launch of the
“Civil Society
Organization
Platform on
the IMF
Bailout to
Ghana”? Will
the IMF meet
with the
group?")
On
Ebola back on
August 28 Rice
told Inner
City Press
that the IMF
was working on
the ebola
crisis with
the government
of Liberia,
Sierra Leone
and
Guinea.
Later came the
$130 million
commitment.
While
most questions
on August 28
concerned IMF
Managing
Director
Christine
Lagarde being
under
investigation
-- she will
brief the IMF
Board “very
soon,” Rice
said, calling
it “highly
unlikely” it
would be on
August 29
along with the
Board's
meeting on
Ukraine --
Inner City
Press also
asked about
Yemen, Ghana,
Pakistan --
and ebola,
IMF transcript
here:
“Has
the IMF
produced any
estimates of
the impact of
the ebola
crisis? Any
IMF responses
to it?”
Rice
read out the
question, then
said that
ebola's "acute
impacts" are
“macro-economic”
and social,
hitting three
“already
fragile”
countries
(Guinea,
Liberia and
Sierra Leone).
He said
"growth is
likely to slow
sharply in all
three cases"
and
significant
financial
needs will
rise:
"increased
poverty and
food
insecurity"
and impacts on
employment in
the key
agricultural
sector.
Rice
concluded, "We
are actively
working with
all three
countries to
prepare...
additional
financing that
may be
required."